Bombardment is one of the best removal spells in the format, but a color that also has Fiery Temper, Make Mischief, Incendiary Flow and Savage Alliance can find replacements without much trouble. It provides the removal that a green-based deck might otherwise be missing. Prey Upon is significantly higher than Galvanic Bombardment, despite being a much, much worse card. Ulvenwald Captive is the only good, common mana dork in the format. There are few red cards that can provide the savage ground beating of a Brazen Wolves attacking as a 4/3 on turn 4. The top cards are also those that fill a role that is otherwise hard to replace. Combat tricks and card draw tend not to feature. Let’s look at the commons from Eldritch Moon, since these are the cards that we have the most data for: Top 20 EMN common Desirability Ratings (full list here ) #Īs we might expect, the cards at the top of the list are overwhelmingly good creatures and removal spells. This reflects the extent to which a card pulls a deck-builder into its color. (The probability that a pool WITHOUT the card plays its color) (The probability that a pool WITH a card plays its color AND plays the card). In order to do this, she calculates a Desirability Rating for each card: Desirability Rating These might be bombs, removal, or something else entirely. Lucille chooses her colors by looking for cards in her pool that typically make people more likely to play its colors. But this is her first foray into Limited Magic. Lucille also doesn’t understand artifacts, multi-colored cards, non-basic lands, or splashing. Lucille doesn’t know how to do this, and once she’s made a choice she sticks with it, goddamit. Human players will often go back and forth between these stages, examining a few different color combinations in detail before making a final decision. Decide on 23 cards and 17 lands from within these colors.The first version of Lucille is going to build her sealed decks in 2 stages: It turns out that this is all she really needs. She is, however, extremely good at statistics. Tragically, Lucille understands nothing about the mechanics of Magic the Gathering. This will both make you a better limited player and keep you safe come the inevitable ascendancy of mecha-Finkel. We will then use this data and our AI to reason about what makes a sealed format “easy” or “hard”. In this essay we’re going to analyze data from 280 Eldritch Moon sealed pools that went either 4-1 or 5-0 in recent MTGO tournaments, and use this data to design a sealed deck building AI. Nonetheless, if a huge metal cuboid in a trench coat and dark glasses ever asks whether you have a Standard deck with you, tell it that you aren’t into Pokemon and run for the hills. For the time being you are almost definitely a better Magic player than Deepmind. As far as I know, there are no good Magic the Gathering AIs.
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